Thomas Sowell
At
what cost?
http://www.NewsAndOpinion.com |
Now that we have all breathed a sigh of relief at the rescue of the miners
trapped underground in Somerset, Pa., perhaps we might reconsider some of the
things that send men down into such hazardous places to get us the fuel to
power our economy.
The
cost of coal is more than dollars and cents. It is also danger and lives. So
are the costs of other ways of producing power for our homes and industries.
Hydroelectric dams can burst and wipe out whole communities. Oil can spill over
vast areas of land or sea, or catch fire and pollute the air. Nuclear power has
its dangers as well, as Chernobyl demonstrated.
Too
often, individuals, organizations and movements seize upon one particular kind
of cost or danger and try to block it by all means possible. But how many
miners' lives are we prepared to risk, in order to spare any inconvenience to
Caribou near the Alaskan oil reserves? Or to spare the delicate feelings of
nature cultists who will wring their hands over oil drilling that neither they
nor 99 percent of the American people will ever see?
Children
can set their hearts on one thing and throw tantrums when they can't get it, or
can't get it right now. But the mark of maturity is weighing one thing against
another in an imperfect world.
An
adult weighing trade-offs cannot demand that nuclear power be "safe"
because nothing on the face of this earth is 100 percent safe. The only
meaningful question is: Compared to what? Compared to digging for coal or
burning oil? Compared to hydroelectric dams? Compared to running out of
electricity and having blackouts?
Demanding
"clean" air and water is like demanding "safe" sources of
power. There are no such things. There is air and water containing greater and
lesser amounts of other elements and compounds, some of which represent varying
amounts of danger that can be removed at varying costs.
Some
of these elements and compounds are dangerous pollutants, which can be removed
to a great extent at relatively modest costs. But to remove that last
infinitesimal fraction of pollutants means skyrocketing costs to avoid ever
more remote, or even questionable, dangers.
Some
things that might be lethal in high concentrations may be easily handled by the
body's natural defenses when there are only minute traces in the air or water.
Unfortunately, such complications do not lend themselves to political slogans
or to ideological crusades that can energize zealots in environmental cults or
Chicken Littles who demand absolute "safety."
Politicians
pander to such people, especially during election years, as California's
Governor Gray Davis has done by approving more stringent "clean air"
standards for automobiles sold in that state. Since there is no way to burn fuel
without producing emissions, the mantra of "lower emission standards"
is a blank check for never-ending escalations of costs for removing ever more
remote dangers.
The
most fraudulent of these lower emissions efforts are those directed toward
producing electric cars, which will have no emissions at all, because the
pollutants are emitted where the electricity is produced, rather than in the
cars where it is used. But the emissions are still produced.
True
zealots say that "if it saves just one human life," any measure for
the sake of safety is worth whatever it costs. But what if its costs can
include other human lives?
Wealth
saves lives. The miners who were trapped underground in Pennsylvania would have
been dead in many Third World countries, because the costly technology and the
highly trained specialists who rescued them would simply not have been there,
and could not have been gotten there in time over dirt roads or through
jungles.
An
earthquake that kills a dozen people in California will kill hundreds of people
in a less affluent nation and thousands in a truly poor country. Not only does
wealth enable buildings and other structures to be built to more earthquake
resistant standards, wealth also provides more advanced rescue equipment and more
elaborately equipped hospitals with more highly trained personnel to treat the
injured.
They
say talk is cheap. But some kinds of political rhetoric can end up costing
lives as well as money.