The
East African
September
17, 2001
Posted to the web September 23,
2001
Paul
Redfern
As
the price of coffee hits a new low, of about one eighth of the rate it was in
1994, a new report has revealed that coffee beans sometimes exchange hands up
to 150 times before they reach Western supermarket shelves.
Coffee
is in fact the world's second most traded commodity after crude oil, but unlike
oil, it is no longer a valuable foreign-exchange earner.
According
to the Fairtrade Foundation's report, Spilling the Beans, small independent
coffee farmers in places such as Tanzania and Uganda are in a chronically weak
position when it comes to selling to local dealers.
With
only one major harvest a year, farmers are so desperate for cash that by the
time their crop arrives they are forced to sell at rates often completely
uneconomic for them.
The
International Coffee Organisation (ICO) recently released figures showing that
the world coffee economy has risen by $20 billion since 1991, when it was worth
$30 billion, but in that time the producers' share has fallen from $12 billion
to $8 billion.
Now
the vast coffee chains such as Starbucks spend very little of their actual
costs on coffee itself. Far more expensive to them, is the price of property
and marketing for their shops.
Prices
on the world market are now their lowest in 36 years - this month saw robusta
selling for as little as $464 a tonne - and the situation is not expected to
improve in the foreseeable future. Yet only seven years ago, in 1994, coffee
was selling as high as $4,091 per tonne.
According
to the London-based ICO "the effect on producers (of the collapse in
price) has been very serious." It fears that the chronic level of prices
will wipe out a considerable number of small farmers in Africa.
The
vast majority of coffee farmers in Africa are small producers with yields of
around 225kg per hectare.
At
its meeting this month, ICO will look at the possibility of cutting out the
poor quality coffee surplus from the world market in a bid to push up prices.
But robusta producers in Africa are said to be strongly opposed to the scheme.
Cutting
production or supplies onto the world market will not be an easy task. Efforts
to halt the slide in the price of coffee through various retention schemes and
cartel agreements since the early 1990s have all come to nothing through either
consuming-country opposition or internal differences among producers.
The
big coffee roasters can afford to pay basic rates for coffee because of a huge
oversupply on the world market.
The
global coffee mountain is now said to stand at more than 59 million bags,
amounting to over 3 million tonnes of coffee beans.
This
year alone, production is set to be around 113 million bags, the highest level
since 1965, and unless a major crop fails, prices will remain at rock bottom
levels.
Moreover,
each year, around 10 million more bags of coffee are produced than consumed,
which is only adding to the problem of oversupply.
The
fundamental reason why prices are so low is because coffee exports have gone up
by 15 per cent since 1990 that of new plantings by established producers and
the arrival of newcomers such as Vietnam to the market.
For
Uganda and Tanzania in particular, the decline in the price of robusta to less
than US 50 cents per kg has been disastrous.
Coffee
is still Uganda's biggest foreign-exchange earner and it is one of the three
biggest producers in Africa along with Ethiopia and Cote d'Ivoire.
However,
Africa's combined total of around 18 million bags still represents only around 16
per cent of world production, with the big three producers, Brazil, Columbia
and Vietnam, accounting for nearly 50 per cent of total world production.
The
World Bank has predicted that coffee prices will not return to their 1997/98
levels until at least the year 2010.
The
development agency Oxfam has proposed torching nearly a million tonnes of
surplus coffee to be funded by a windfall tax on the big coffee companies like
Nestle, Kraft and Sara Lee. It says that 15 million bags of low grade coffee
needs to be burned to get the market price of coffee back to above $1 per kg.
Other
coffee experts say that export marketing boards of developing countries need to
be strengthened to prevent poor quality beans getting onto the market. However,
in many countries, in Africa in particular, coffee marketing boards have all
but collapsed.
The
ICO still pins much of its hopes on an increase in consumption but recent
statistics show that although demand is rising, by around 1.5 per cent per
annum, supply is increasing by more than double this rate, 3.5 per cent.
Moreover,
and more critically, despite the emergence of the new coffee shops in Europe
and the UK, consumption per capita has fallen in Western Europe and North
America.
In
East Africa, the collapse in price of coffee has had dramatic effects, leading
to bitter internal battles in Kenya.
In
Uganda, which still depends on coffee for around half of its export earnings,
the price slump has cost it an estimated $190 million - the equivalent of half
the amount of debt relief it has received from the West. Tanzania has also been
badly affected by the price fall.